Newcastle Utd v Leeds Utd - Correct Score/First Scorer - 20.15 Wed.

Predict the scores...if you can!

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St.Anningley
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Re: Newcastle Utd v Leeds Utd - Correct Score/First Scorer - 20.15 Wed.

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Re: Newcastle Utd v Leeds Utd - Correct Score/First Scorer - 20.15 Wed.

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Re: Newcastle Utd v Leeds Utd - Correct Score/First Scorer - 20.15 Wed.

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Sean_Nile wrote: Wed Jan 07, 2026 6:14 pm For a bit of fun here is The wisdom of the crowd from these 26 predictions is a 1-1 draw.
Here's the clear breakdown:
Outcome summary
Draw: 13 predictions (50%)
Newcastle win: 8 predictions (31%)
Leeds win: 5 predictions (19%)
The crowd clearly leans toward a draw.
Most common scorelines
1-1: 9 predictions (by far the most popular)
2-1 (Newcastle win): 4 predictions
2-2 (draw): 3 predictions
1-2 (Leeds win): 3 predictions
2-0 (Newcastle win): 2 predictions
Others (0-0, 0-2, 3-0, 3-1): 1 each
The single most predicted result is 1-1, predicted by over a third of the group.
For first goalscorer in the 1-1 predictions, DCL is the most mentioned (4 times), but there is no strong consensus beyond that — others include Stach, Gnonto (twice), Okafor, and Aaronson.
Overall consensus: a low-scoring 1-1 draw.
The fans' predictions revealed a cautious, low-scoring expectation that completely missed the chaotic 4-3 thriller.

Key mismatches
Winner: 13 predicted draw (50%), 8 Newcastle win (31%), 5 Leeds win (19%).

The crowd's plurality bet on a point for Leeds, but Newcastle took all three. The 8 who backed Newcastle got the direction right, so roughly a third of the group nailed the outcome.

Margin: Several went for 2-1 Newcastle or 1-1/2-2 draw, close in competitiveness. The fans clearly expected a tight, nervy game, and they weren't wrong about it being close (one-goal margin).

Goals: This is where it all fell apart.
Most common: 1-1 (9 predictions, total goals: 2)
Highest predicted totals: 3-1 or 2-2 (only 4 goals)
Actual: 7 goals

No one came remotely close to forecasting a seven-goal festival.

What it says about the fans' knowledge

Their predictions show they know their team's tendencies well: cagey, hard-fought games against strong sides like Newcastle, often low-scoring with a decent chance of nicking a point. They read the rivalry as tense and defensive, realistic based on history and form.

But the 4-3 exposed a collective blind spot for madness. They didn't see the defensive frailties or the end-to-end attacking play coming.

Given form of previous away results the trend would be to default to "it'll be scrappy and 1-1" because that's what they endure in many away games.

High-scoring classics are rare, so the crowd instinctively hedges toward caution.
In short: solid grasp of the likely competitiveness and result range, but zero anticipation of a high octane game. Proof that even knowledgeable fans can't predict when both teams decide to throw the script out the window... and caution to the wind.

The wisdom of the crowd works better for boring games than for absolute barnstormers.
Never confuse intellect with imagination.
Never let good taste stand in the way of style

~ big nosed Pseudo intellectual, sarky super hero, weirdly obsessed idiot stalker, boring smarmy w*nker, worst pollster, far right dimwit, and resident perspicacious comedian...OR IS HE
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